Here's why bitcoin turned lower from the 200-day average

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Here's why bitcoin turned lower from the 200-day average BTC recently turned lower from the 200-day average, a barometer of long-term trends. CryptoQuant explains why. What to know: - Bitcoin is trading near $77,900 after failing to break above its 200-day moving average around $82,400, a level analysts see as a key test between a bear-market bounce and a sustained recovery. - CryptoQuant says demand drivers behind the recent rally—leveraged futures buying, spot demand and U.S. spot bitcoin ETF inflows—have all weakened, with its Bull Score Index dropping to an “extremely bearish” reading of 20. - U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs have seen roughly $2 billion in outflows over the past two weeks and key demand gauges in the U.S., Korea and Hong Kong are soft, leaving $70,000 as the next major on-chain support level if the correction deepens. Bitcoin's Analytics firm CryptoQuant's latest report offers a compelling explanation for why the rally failed to break through the critical average, a long-term trend line traders often treat as the dividing line between a bear-market bounce and a real recovery. The bigger issue is demand. CryptoQuant says the April and early May rally had been supported by three things: leveraged futures buying, spot demand, and U.S. ETF inflows. All three have now weakened. The firm's Bull Score Index has fallen from 40 to 20, a level the firm calls “extremely bearish” and one that matched the February-March period when bitcoin traded between $60,000 and $66,000. The clearest cross-check is the Coinbase bitcoin premium, which has remained negative through much of the May rally and the subsequent correction, CryptoQuant points out in the report. The premium measures whether bitcoin is trading higher on Coinbase than on offshore venues; a positive reading is treated as a sign of relatively stronger U.S. demand, a negative reading as evidence that U.S. investors aren't paying up for exposure. U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs have flipped into sellers to match. Weekly data from SoSoValue shows the products lost about $979.7 million in the week ended May 19, on top of roughly $1 billion of outflows the prior week. The reversal follows six straight weeks of inflows that helped fuel the rally. Is there any demand at all? Korea's kimchi premium, which measures demand for BTC on Korean exchanges, has dropped below zero, according to CryptoQuant data, meaning there's no above-normal demand on exchanges in the country. Elsewhere in Asia, Hong Kong's three spot bitcoin ETFs, run by ChinaAMC, Bosera Hashkey, and Harvest, have rarely cleared a few million dollars in combined daily volume through May. If the correction deepens, CryptoQuant identifies $70,000, the traders’ on-chain realized price, as the next major on-chain support. That level capped rallies in October and January. This time, it would have to hold them up. More For You Nvidia's stronger-than-expected results and bullish AI outlook lifted crypto mining stocks tied to data center and high-performance computing demand, even as the chipmaker's shares fell due to growth concerns. What to know: - Nvidia reported first-quarter revenue of $81.62 billion, up 85 percent from a year earlier and above Wall Street expectations, as AI infrastructure demand continued to surge. - Data Center now accounts for more than 90 percent of Nvidia’s revenue, prompting the company to reorganize its reporting into two segments: Data Center...

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