BTC dominance returns to 58%! The leader remains strong, suppressing altcoins; is "altseason" still on hold?

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On-chain data shows that Bitcoin dominance has recently gradually climbed out of a local trough, rising from a low of around 55% to the current level of 58.5%. This indicates that market capital is flowing back into Bitcoin, cooling the expectations for an "Altseason" that had been gradually heating up. "Bitcoin dominance" has always been a key indicator for observing "capital rotation" in the cryptocurrency market. When Bitcoin dominance climbs, it usually signifies that the market is in a consolidation phase, with Bitcoin often significantly outperforming other altcoins. Conversely, when Bitcoin dominance declines, it suggests that speculative sentiment in the market is rising, with capital spilling over into other assets, accompanied by the arrival of an "Altseason." Looking back at recent market trends, Bitcoin dominance surged to a high of 62% to 63% in mid-2025. Subsequently, as altcoin trading became more active, it continued to fall throughout the second half of 2025, reaching a low near 54%. Now, with Bitcoin dominance rising back to 58%, it suggests that the market is in a consolidation phase to recharge, rather than a moment of euphoria where capital is shifting en masse to altcoins. It is worth noting that the rise in Bitcoin dominance has been accompanied by a simultaneous increase in price. Since retesting the $63,000 low in February of this year, Bitcoin has cleared hurdle after hurdle and has now firmly established itself above the $80,000 mark. This sharp rally has not only steadied investor sentiment but has further solidified Bitcoin's absolute dominance over the broader cryptocurrency market during this period. However, the altcoin market is not entirely stagnant. Over the past month, tokens including Toncoin (TON), Zcash (ZEC), and Dogecoin (DOGE) have taken the lead in demonstrating strong resilience and upward momentum. This phenomenon has occurred multiple times in the past on the eve of major altcoin rallies, where a few tokens with strong narratives or buzz typically lead the charge before the trend gradually spreads to the entire altcoin market. Looking ahead, the biggest suspense for cryptocurrency investors is: will Bitcoin dominance stabilize at current levels, or will it reverse downward again? Market analysis suggests that if Bitcoin stagnates at its current price level while dominance begins to decline, it would strengthen the argument for "capital rotation into altcoins." Conversely, if both Bitcoin's price and dominance continue to rise in tandem, it would mean that market capital is still firmly holding onto Bitcoin, and a full-blown "Altseason" may still be some time away.

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Published:2026-05-13 05:24:00

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