FBIが犯罪者を捕まえるためにトークンを作った。それでも仮想通貨界はそれを買った — 19倍

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Editor’s note: This is a guest opinion piece by Evan Luthra. The views expressed are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the views of BeInCrypto. Readers should do their own research before making any investment decisions. FBI fake token built to catch criminals just pumped 19x because Evan Luthra tweeted about it. Let that sink in. A token with zero utility, created by a federal agency as a honeypot, which already caused enough retail losses that the government had to set up a restitution portal to refund victims — that token saw a 19x price increase after I publicly called it fake. I’ve been in crypto for over a decade. That’s long enough to know this space is irrational. I’ve watched projects with no product, an incompetent team, and no roadmap hit nine-figure valuations on vibes alone. I’ve equally watched serious builders get ignored while “rocks” printed millions. If I’m being honest, none of that surprises me anymore. FBI Fake Token: A Surprise for Crypto OGs On May 21, 2026, I made a detailed post on X breaking down how the FBI had built a fake ERC-20 token called NexFundAI back in 2024. They created a professional website, wrote whitepapers promising “passive income through AI-powered investing,” and then hired market makers to manufacture trading volume — all as a trap to arrest wash traders. In that post, I named the firms they approached to help run this scam. One of them was Gotbit, a firm run by a 26-year-old Russian who charged $200 to pump NexFundAI’s daily trading volume to $1 million per day within six hours. These guys had internal spreadsheets with columns literally labeled “fake volume.” Another firm, MyTrade, run by a guy who called himself “the mastermind,” explained the psychology of the scam on a recorded video call to the NexFundAI team (re: FBI). We make the chart look like a really nice roller coaster ride. That’s where people jump in. We have to make them lose money in order to make a profit. Another firm based in Dubai, CLS Global, used its bots to generate 98% of NexFundAI’s total trading volume. And when the FBI asked if they could sync fake volume spikes with fake news announcements, they said absolutely. ZM Quant provided bots running 10 to 20 trades per minute through dozens of wallets to simulate organic activity. At the end of the operation, 18 people were indicted across the US, UK, and Portugal, and $25 million was seized in a single day. The CEO of Gotbit was arrested in Portugal, extradited, sentenced to eight months in prison, and made to forfeit $23 million. In my post, I said clearly that retail investors who had bought this token while the sting operation was live lost real money, and the FBI had to open a restitution portal to refund them. That post went viral. CZ and other notable names in the space engaged with it, expressing their shock. It trended, but that was fine. I had expected some attention on the story because it is genuinely insane. What I didn’t expect was for the fake FBI token to pump 19x after that post. If you’re shocked right now, I was just as shocked watching it happen in real time. Why would a token the FBI built as a honeypot — one that had already caused retail losses significant enough for the government to set up a refund system — go up 19x in value after I had publicly called it fake? What decision-making process would lead a person to read “the FBI made this token to catch criminals, and retail investors already lost money buying it,” and respond by buying that token? Theories about FBI Fake Token I have some theories, and none of them is comforting. The first is that I think people simply didn’t read the thread. They saw the engagement it generated, saw NexFundAI trending, saw CZ’s and other “big” accounts’ replies, and bought based on social signal alone. No research done. Just: a big account posted, big names replied, numbers go up. If that’s what happened, then it’s a reminder, for the umpteenth time, that a large portion of this market still operates on pure reflexive behavior with zero information processing. My second theory isn’t great either. What if these buys weren’t people at all? What if these were bots? Think about it. There are AI trading bots, right now, that monitor influential crypto accounts in real time and parse the content of posts for token names and ticker symbols. The moment a post with high engagement mentions a specific token, the bot buys. This action is most likely taken without the bot reading for sentiment or distinguishing between “this token is going to the moon” and “this token is a federal trap.” It just sees a token mentioned, sees the engagement spike, and executes a trade. We’ve built a market where an algorithm can’t tell the difference between “buy this” and “the FBI made this to arrest you.” And it doesn’t care. If this is what drove the pump, then we have a genuinely disturbing situation on our hands. The information content of a crypto post is becoming irrelevant. Posts warning people about a token are now functionally indistinguishable from posts hyping that token, because fewer and fewer “buyers” are actually reading content. The market has moved, more than we suspected, toward autonomous systems that can’t tell the difference between signal and anti-signal — and those systems are now large enough to move prices. This worries me because a 19x move isn’t a small retail degen accidentally sending $50 into the wrong contract. That kind of price action requires real volume, or at least coordinated synthetic volume, which brings us back to the original story in what is a horrible full-circle moment. The Sting Became a Tutorial Here’s the part of the story I keep coming back to. A day after the DOJ announced the sting and the arrests, someone cloned the FBI’s exact NexFundAI smart contract and used it to launch a copycat token. They made $127,000 in a single day using the same manipulation tactics. Let me say that again. The FBI ran a sting operation to send a message to the market, and within 24 hours, someone used it as a blueprint. The DOJ announcement wasn’t a warning. It was a pitch deck. My third theory, and I think this is the darkest one. Some people knew exactly what the NexFundAI token was and bought it anyway, betting that the viral momentum from my post would attract enough uninformed buyers to let them exit at a profit. These people weren’t confused, nor were they bots. They read my post, understood that retail investors might pile in out of curiosity or stupidity, and positioned themselves to take the other side of that trade. That’s predation. If that is what happened, those people looked at a story about the FBI catching wash traders and market manipulators and thought: opportunity. The FBI ran Operation Token Mirrors again. This is the investigation targeting crypto market manipulation, which led to the NexFundAI bust. This time, they launched a new token called Lexobit and made ten more arrests, including operators extradited from Singapore. These guys didn’t learn lessons from earlier stings; they monetized them instead. What Are We Dealing with Here? We’re dealing with a market where people offer manufactured charts as a professional service with published pricing. A market where, according to IRS forensic analysis, a firm’s bots sent 1,209 of 1,221 consecutive transactions back into wallets the firm itself controlled. That’s 99% of the transactions being circular. We’re dealing with a market where a meme coin called Saitama hit a $7.5 billion market cap, with every dollar of that value built on coordinated buys carried out via private Telegram chats, pump-it memes, and a price chart engineered to create what looks like organic momentum. We’re dealing with a market where I can make a post about a specific token being a federal honeypot with zero utility created to arrest criminals, and the response from the market to that post is a 19x pump. I don’t have a clean conclusion to offer. I’ve been in this space for too long to pretend it’s all bad, and I have seen real builders doing real work that matters. But I’ll leave you with this: if the difference between a warning and a shill has become zero — because the market cannot or will not process the content of what you’re saying — then we have a serious problem that no amount of regulation will fully fix. You can arrest and indict the wash traders. The FBI is clearly doing that, with Operation Token Mirrors still ongoing. But you cannot arrest the part of the market that looks at an FBI sting operation and sees a trading opportunity. That part lives in us. And until it doesn’t, look at every chart with more skepticism than you are currently giving it. And here’s your practical takeaway: before you buy any token, spend 60 seconds checking if the contract was created by a federal agency. That’s where we are now. That’s the bar. If you can’t even clear that, you have no business putting money into anything in this market. Evan Luthra is a crypto investor and entrepreneur who has been active in the digital asset industry for over a decade.

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