이란이 미국과의 호르무즈 해협 재개방 합의를 시사하며 유가 하락

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Iranian state television outlined a draft US-Iran framework on Wednesday. It would lift the US naval blockade and reopen the Strait of Hormuz to pre-war commercial traffic within a month. WTI crude slid 2.7% within 30 minutes of the broadcast hitting social channels. The move dragged US oil futures below $89 per barrel and shook risk assets exposed to Middle East volatility. Inside the Draft Iran-US Hormuz Framework The state TV report lists six provisions, each reframing how the strait would operate during a proposed 60-day negotiation window. Under the preliminary terms: - US military forces would withdraw from Iran’s vicinity, and the US Navy would lift its Hormuz blockade. - Tehran would restore commercial transits to pre-war levels inside 30 days. - Iran and Oman would jointly manage shipping routes, while military vessels remain outside the draft. If a final deal materializes within 60 days, the agreement would be elevated into a binding UN Security Council resolution. Iranian outlets framed the memorandum as an “initial unofficial framework.” Tehran cautioned that no steps would follow without tangible verification from Washington. Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens Oil and Crypto Markets React to Hormuz Reopening Crude reacted first. WTI futures traded near $93 earlier in the session. Prices then extended losses below $89 within half an hour of the headlines. “WTI oil crashes -2.7% in 30 minutes as Iranian state TV reports a draft US Iran framework that would restore Strait of Hormuz commercial shipping to pre-war levels within one month,” noted Bull Theory. The Hormuz chokepoint handled roughly 20 million barrels per day before Iran’s restrictions. About 125 to 140 commercial transits crossed daily before the conflict. Volume collapsed during the blockade. A genuine reopening would unwind one of the largest supply-side inflation impulses hanging over global markets. Skepticism Around the Iran-Oman Hormuz Arrangement US and Iranian framings continue to diverge. - Tehran emphasizes sovereignty and Iran-Oman strait management. - Washington wants free passage without Hormuz transit fees and hard verification of safe passage. Analysts treat the document as a time-buying ceasefire rather than a final settlement. The Institute for the Study of War describes the approach as phased. The strait and ceasefire issues move first. Nuclear talks, sanctions relief, and proxy fronts come later. In the meantime, traders are pricing a narrow reopening scenario rather than a comprehensive peace deal. “Here’s the big problem with oil: these days it goes down less when Trump says there is a hint of peace and it goes up much more when there is a rumor of war,” Jim Cramer said recently. The next 60 days will reveal whether either side can deliver. Until today, those commitments only lived inside a state TV broadcast.

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