Fed 利率維持不變！FOMC 聲明點名「能源飆漲與中東危機」，聯準會內部 4 票反對「寬鬆傾向」

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The Fed remains "on hold," but the internal battle between hawks and doves has surfaced! The U.S. Fed concluded its April FOMC meeting, keeping the benchmark interest rate at 3.50% – 3.75%, exactly as 100% of the market expected. However, the statement rarely revealed strong concerns about inflation, pointing directly to "surging energy prices" and the "Middle East situation" as casting a shadow over the economic outlook. Most notably, this vote saw a surprising 4 dissenting votes, highlighting a serious divergence within the decision-making body regarding the future policy path. (Previous coverage: Goodbye, Powell! Hosting his final Fed FOMC meeting tonight, rates remain on hold; successor Walsh is a crypto billionaire) (Background supplement: Bitcoin faces a showdown this week with the FOMC meeting and tech earnings! QCP: If BTC breaks through $82,000, the CME gap could reach the $90,000 mark) The U.S. Fed interest rate decision, closely watched by global financial markets, has been officially released. Under the shadow of a reignited global energy crisis, the Fed chose the most conservative path that best aligned with market expectations: continuing to keep its foot on the brake. According to the FOMC statement released on April 29, U.S. time, the decision-makers resolved to keep the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75%. This marks the Fed's consecutive decision to hold rates steady, fully in line with the market's prior 100% bet. Naming "Surging Energy" and "Middle East Crisis" as Inflation Drivers Although interest rates remain unchanged, the wording of this FOMC policy statement is filled with vigilance regarding a rebound in prices. The statement noted that economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace, but job gains have been modest, and the unemployment rate has remained little changed. Most critically, regarding the current state of inflation — the FOMC explicitly stated that "inflation remains elevated" and admitted that this partly reflects "recent increases in global energy prices." In addition to energy costs, geopolitics has been officially written into the highest level of decision-making considerations. The statement emphasized: "Developments in the Middle East are creating a high degree of uncertainty for the economic outlook." This means that under the dual pressure of soaring oil prices and geopolitical conflict, the Fed will more cautiously assess the risks facing its dual mandate (maximum employment and a 2% inflation target). Rare and Serious Divergence! Decision Sees 4 Dissenting Votes What shocked Wall Street most about this meeting was not the decision to keep rates unchanged, but the eruption of an extremely rare "serious disagreement" within the Fed. In this decision, as many as 4 members cast dissenting votes, showing intense debate within the decision-making circle regarding the future path: - Aggressive Rate Cut Camp: Member Stephen I. Miran cast a dissenting vote, with the reasoning that he wished to "cut rates by 25 basis points" directly at this meeting. - Hardline Anti-Inflation Camp: Members Beth M. Hammack, Neel Kashkari, and Lorie K. Logan, while supporting the decision to keep rates unchanged, cast dissenting votes for the following reason: they strongly opposed retaining an "easing bias" in the current statement. They believe that with energy and inflation risks intensifying, the Fed should not send a dovish signal to the market that easing could happen at any time. This FOMC meeting, filled with noise, highlights the difficult tug-of-war the Fed is caught in between addressing energy-driven inflation and preventing an economic slowdown. The market will closely watch how this internal rift will affect the direction of monetary policy in the second half of the year, as well as the subsequent impact on the cost of capital for risk assets such as cryptocurrencies.

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原始資訊

ID：9b0ebc4450

來源：動區 BlockTempo

發佈：2026-04-29 17:13:09

分類：bullish · 導出分類 bullish

標的：未指定

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