Bitcoin 恢复至“全面”看涨势头的四个迹象

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Four signs that Bitcoin has recovered to ‘full’ bullish momentum Expanding Bitcoin price momentum, recovering liquidity and surging network activity all point to continued bullish control. Market analysts said Bitcoin’s (BTC) upside remained intact despite the 2.5% correction from its multi-month high of $82,800 reached on May 6. Key takeaways: - Bitcoin has successfully re-entered expansion territory as the Bull Market Support Band turned to support. - Bitcoin’s Stablecoin Supply Ratio has recovered from historic lows, indicating fresh liquidity is returning. - Bitcoin’s spot taker CVD flips positive, suggesting real spot demand is back Bitcoin’s price momentum is expanding Private wealth manager Swissblock stated that Bitcoin is “still at full momentum,” despite the slight correction from recent highs. Swissblock said that the latest rally saw the Bitcoin price momentum “successfully reignited and pushed back into full expansion territory.” Related: Bitcoin funding rates turn positive: Is BTC rally to $85K next? Bitcoin is now consolidating inside the cost-basis battlefield, with the true market mean and the short-term holder cost basis around $80,000 acting as support and the active realized price at $85,000 as resistance. Meanwhile, “momentum remains structurally strong,” the wealth manager said, adding: “As long as momentum stays above the transition area, bulls retain control.” Bitcoin price momentum. Swissblock Echoing this observation, analyst The Great Mattsby pointed out that Bitcoin’s Bull Market Support Band has now turned into support, while the 21-week exponential moving average has crossed back above the 20-week simple moving average. “The trend has officially flipped back to bullish.” BTC/USD weekly chart. Source: X/The Great Mattsby Bitcoin liquidity signals “strong recovery” The Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) has recovered from its lower historical range below 10, the same zone that marked market bottoms in mid-2021, 2022 and mid-2023. Each time the SSR recovered from these lows, Bitcoin broke out of range and staged a strong rebound, as shown in the chart below. Bitcoin Stablecoin Supply Ratio: Source: CryptoQuant The recovering SSR suggests that stablecoin liquidity is returning to exchanges again, potentially setting the stage for another bull run for BTC price. The Binance Stablecoin Supply Ratio Oscillator tells the same story. The chart below shows that Bitcoin’s 90D Stablecoin Supply Ratio Oscillator has moved back into positive territory, reaching 12-month highs at 2.8. “This reflects a strong recovery from the negative zone, with stablecoin purchasing demand becoming more active during the current rebound,” CryptoQuant analyst Zizcrypto said in a Tuesday QuickTake note, adding: “For context, the oscillator previously reached 2.43 in May 2025 and 4.00 in November 2024 — both during stronger market phases.” Stablecoin supply ratio oscillator. Source: CryptoQuant Bitcoin’s transaction activity is at 20-month highs The strength in BTC price is reflected in Bitcoin's network activity, with daily transaction count rising by 116% in May to 831,450 on May 9. This metric was last at similar levels in September 2024, before Bitcoin later rallied above $100,000 during the broader market surge following the US presidential election. Bitcoin’s network activity is “more active than when it was at $100K,” analyst CW8900 said in an X post on Saturday, adding: “The network is already showing signals of a bull market.” Bitcoin daily transaction count. Source: CryptoQuant Bitcoin’s daily active address count has also climbed, increasing by 7.1% over the last week to 707,719, while total fee volume surged 37% to $279,300 over the same period, according to Glassnode’s latest Market Pulse report. “Such a significant increase suggests heightened onchain activity, potentially signaling bullish market conditions.” Bitcoin daily active address count. Source: Glassnode Increasing transaction count, daily active addresses and fees means more users are interacting with the network. It suggests high network activity, often correlating with increased interest and market confidence. Bitcoin's “real demand” is back Bitcoin’s 90-day spot taker cumulative volume delta (CVD), a measure of the difference between buy and sell volume over three months, shows a “significant shift in capital flow structure,” according to CryptoQuant analyst Rei Researcher. The metric flipped positive (green bars in the chart below) in early May as the price broke above the $78,000 resistance and has remained positive since. “Taker Buy Dominance in the spot market indicates buying pressure from ‘major players’ (Whales/Institutions) looking to hold $BTC rather than just speculating via derivatives,” the Rei Researcher said in a recent Quicktake note, adding: “Real demand has prevailed. When bulls are willing to pay higher prices to own $BTC, a sustainable uptrend usually follows.” Bitcoin spot taker CVD. Source: CryptoQuant If the CVD remains green, it could set the stage for another rally as seen in the past. A similar occurrence in May 2025 accompanied 65% BTC price gains. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s spot demand is also accelerating, with spot CVD rising 47% to $62 million from $42 million a week ago, additional data from Glassnode shows. “This increase indicates a significant uptick in buying aggression among market participants,” the onchain data provider said, adding: “This behavior implies heightened conviction, with aggressive traders actively setting higher market prices, potentially signaling continued bullish momentum.” Bitcoin: Spot CVD. Source: Glassnode As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin’s market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio suggests BTC's market structure is strengthening, which may be an early sign of a new bull market. More on the subject

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ID：7a1559cc3e

来源：CoinTelegraph

发布：2026-05-12 12:32:06

分类：一般 · 导出分类 neutral

标的：BTC

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